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Donald Ian Rankin's Journal
Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in Israel/Palestine
Tue Feb 16th 2010, 02:03 PM
In the below table, the first column is US aid in 2006, taken from http://www.vaughns-1-pagers.com/politics/u...
(I have no idea how reliable this is, but it came near the top on google), in millions of dollars.

The second column is population in thousands, taken from wikipedia (N.B. that this figure is often not from 2006, but I think the error from this will be smallish, and I'm not writing for publication...).

The third column is US aid per capita, in dollars. Note that Israel got about 4 times as much as Jordan, and coming on for 10 times as much as anywhere else. Note also that Israeli GDP per capita is $29,000, to Jordan's $5,000; I haven't checked any of the others but I suspect nearly all of them are lower still, many of them much, much lower. Note also that 2006 is the year covered when Israel received the *least* aid.

So, if you're looking at "countries that receive too much US aid" then Israel is way out front in a league entirely of its own, and the (very distant) second-runner is probably Jordan, not Egypt.


Israel: 2520 7465 337.58
Egypt: 1795 77420 23.19
Columbia: 558 45274 12.32
Jordan: 461 6316 72.99
Pakistan: 698 168747 4.14
Peru: 133 29132 4.57
Indonesia 158 240271 0.66
Kenya 213 39002 5.46
Bolivia 122 9775 12.48
Ukraine 115 46011 2.5
India 94 1177128 0.08
Haiti 163 9035 18.04
Russia 52 141927 0.37
Ethiopia 145 79221 1.83
West Bank/Gaza 150 3900 38.46 (N.B. this population worked out by hand, may be wrong).
Liberia 89 3955 22.5
Bangladesh 49 162221 0.3
Bosnia 51 4613 11.06 (N.B. this population for Bosnia & Herzegovina, may be wrong).




P.S. For what it's worth, I wholeheartedly support the right of return for all Palestinian refugees and all their descendants, and the transformation of Israel from a Jewish state into a non-racist state. I think it's an impossible pipe dream that the Palestinians have no chance of achieving, but that in any final settlement that were reached it should be acknowledged that by giving up on it they are making an *enormous* concession, and doing so purely in the face of might rather than right.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in Israel/Palestine
Sun Jun 28th 2009, 05:06 PM
http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsourc...

So yes, I think that those Jews as a people have no meaningful claim to the land of Israel, although the minority of Jews who lived there or had ancestors pre-Israel have a right to be equal citizens there - the fact that many of them had ancestors who lived there 2000 years ago is entirely irrelevant. Israel is a 19th-21st century colonial exercise; the fact that it shares a name with a biblical state in the same region does not give it any legitimacy.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Wed Jun 03rd 2009, 01:09 PM
How would you spell the following in the Roman alphabet? Why?

The Chinese communist dictator who wrote the Little Red Book
The leader the above fought against who lead the Kuomintang and was driven back to Taiwan
The prophet of Islam
The holy book of Islam
A follower of Islam
The Jewish winter festival commemorating the Lamp of the Macabbees
The unleavened bread eaten at Passover
The main Lebanese terrorist group
The Yupik and Inuit tribes

And a couple of bonus questions:

If you wanted to use one name to refer to the recently-executed Iraqi dictator, what would it be?
How would you pronounce the Hebrew word for an ear of corn?

Feel free to add other similar questions - the ones above are just some I regularly have problems with or see multiple versions of; I'm sure there are lots of others.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Fri Jan 30th 2009, 08:22 AM

I do not think that elected officials (or, more precisely, officials who will someday stand for election again) should have any power to interfere in the administration of justice. Laws should be made by people answerable to the electorate, but they should be enforced by people answerable only to the law.

Here in the UK we used to be close to a separation of legal and political systems, but over the last decade and a bit the Home Secretary has gained increased powers to interfere in sentencing. I think this is a very bad thing indeed.

In an American context

:-Judges, prosecutors, police officers and the like should be appointed by independent bodies, not elected.

:-The president should not have the power to issue pardons; if anyone should it should be the Supreme Court, and probably no-one should.

:-Congress, instead of the power to impeach the president for crimes, should have (if anything) the power to remove him from office for political reasons. Now, actually, this is what it currently has, but it's always presented as being a criminal rather than a political power, which causes all sorts of confusion; this should be made clear.

:-Congressional districting and the like should be determined by a non-partisan body with a clear set of guidelines, not of politicians horse-trading.

:-Anyone who has served as a judge or prosecutor within the last N years, for some fairly high value of N, should be barred from running for elected office.

:-The arbiter of what happens to the Guantanamo detainees should be the courts, not the government.

And, to offset all the things I am complaining about, I will point out that the Supreme Court justices not being answerable to any politician is an excellent thing.
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I do not think that there is very much prospect of Obama's attempts at bipartisanship helping push through his legislative agenda - or, indeed, much need for them to do so, given that the Democrats contain both houses.

But Democratic senators and congressmen are up for reelection in 2010, and one of the main talking points in the media will be about "checks and balances" and "one party rule".

It will make a huge difference at that point if it is generally held that the Democrats have tried to be bipartisan and the Republicans have been obstructionist, rather than the Democrats steamrollering the Republicans.

The important thing is not that bipartisanship achieves anything, but that it is seen to have been attempted.
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Obama/McCain
PV: 53/46
EC: 68/32

Kerry/Bush
PV: 51/48
EC: 53/47

Gore/Kerry
PV: 48/48
EC: 50/50

Clinton/Dole
PV: 49/40
EC: 70/30

Clinton/Bush (N.B. Perot...)
PV: 43/38
EC: 69/31

The electoral college always splits more widely than the popular vote, but I'm not sure one can deduce anything about which party that favours. So my compiling all this was less use that I'd hoped... Oh well.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Tue Oct 21st 2008, 12:40 PM


Several of those I don't even understand... is PK a racist term for a Pakistani? Or do they mean Promise Keepers? Or the PK machine gun?
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Fri Oct 03rd 2008, 04:42 PM
Look at the ages of the Supreme Court justices (N.B. I worked these out from birthdates, I may be a year out in some cases where they haven't had a birthday this year).

Pro Roe vs Wade:

J.P. Stevens - 88
R.B. Ginsburg - 75
D. Souter - 69
S. Breyer - 70
A. Kennedy - 72

Anti Roe vs Wade:

J. Roberts - 53
S. Alito - 58
A. Scalia - 72
C. Thomas - 60


All the pro-choice judges are over 69; all but one of the anti-abortion ones are 60 or under. And it only takes the balance to swing by one to tip the scales.

Unless we're very lucky, Roe vs Wade is likely to be overturned in a decade or too, and the supreme court is likely to aquire a more conservative tinge.

That said, the situation isn't quite as bad as it could be, because judges can choose when to retire, and hopefully liberal judges may choose to hang on for a few years if the president is a Republican, and, conversely, hopefully Stevens and maybe Ginsburg will choose to retire while Obama is still president, if he wins. But, still, the odds don't look good.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Mon Jan 28th 2008, 12:43 PM
Some random thoughts about gay marriage, not really building into any particular chain of thought.

:-"The debate about gay marriage" is a slight misnomer. What is being debated is not whether gays should be allowed to get married, but whether they should be allowed to claim the same legal benefits for being married as straight couples are.

:-The standard right-wing argument against this is that the reason straight couples receive legal benefits for getting married is so as to encourage straight couples to get married, because this provides a better foundation to raise children on.

:-This strikes me as flawed in several ways:

*Very few couples take into account the legal benefits when deciding whether or not to get married.

*Even straight couples who won't or even can't have children receive legal benefits for getting married.

*There is (so far as I know - it's something I'm sure most DUers would like to be true, but we should be wary of assuming it to confidently) no reliable evidence that children are better off being brought up by a married couple than by the same couple if they had not married (it *is* clearly the case that, on average, children of married couples are better off than those of other, but that's probably largely a function of which couples choose to get married).

:-I think it's fairly clear that the real, or at least the main, reason married couples are granted legal benefits is because it's in the interest of the people getting married, not because it's in the interests of any prospective children.

:-This also rebuts the argument I often see that the state shouldn't get involved in the legal recognition of *any* marriage. It should, and it should do so because people want legal rights for getting married, and the government should be responsive to the will of the electorate.

:-If this is acknowledged, it's fairly clearly completely iniquitous to deny gay people those same benefits.

:-If gay marriage is one of the principle issues in the coming election, the chances are that the Democrats will lose. It (along with abortion, immigration, and possibly the so-called war on terror, although that may backfire) is one of the few weapons the Republicans have left.

:-Civil unions will be less controversial than gay marriage, but still probably cost the dems a lot more votes than they gain, possibly crucially.

:-If the issue is decided at state level, a few states may legalise gay marriage or something like it, but most won't.

:-I think that probably the strategy most likely to enhance gay rights is to try and avoid the issue entirely until after the election, and then pressure the government once it's been elected. I'm far from confident about that.

:-One of the few issues on which I agree with the anti-gay-rights lobby is that the word "marriage" means, and has always meant, a union between a man and a woman. I'm strongly in favour of both granting gays the right to legal civil unions and of calling them "marriage", but the pedant in me slightly regrets the latter.

:-If gay couples are granted the right to civil unions, even ones with all the legal rights of marriage, it will be much easier for a future government to remove those rights than if they're granted the right to marry.

:-It may be the case that the best way to attain gay marriage is to bring in gay civil unions, wait a few years to prove that the sky hasn't fallen, and then rename them "marriage". I'm not sure about that, thought.

:-I am cautiously optimistic about the prospects of gay marriage in the US if the Democrats win the next election, but fairly pessimistic about their chances of doing so.

:-Gay adoption is not, in my view, primarily a gay rights issue. If the evidence suggested that it were better for children to remain in foster homes than to be placed with gay couples, I would support making it illegal for gays to adopt (and the same is true of any other demographic. Adoption is not for the benefit of the adopter, it's solely for the benefit of the adoptee, so it's not a right full stop, and hence not an X right for all values of X, including "human"). As it is clearly the case that it is, in most cases, much better for children to be placed with pretty much anyone who wants them and is willing and able to bring them up, gay, straight or otherwise, rather than remaining in care homes, I'm strongly in favour of allowing (and encouraging) gay (and straight) couples, married or otherwise, to adopt, whatever happens with gay marriage.

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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in Israel/Palestine
Tue May 01st 2007, 01:31 PM


:-It has been repeatedly demonstrated that Israel is not able to protect itself from Palestinian violence through military means.

:-It has been repeatedly demonstrated that the Palestinians are not capable of forcing Israel to do anything it doesn't choose to do through violence.

:-The Palestinian violence is not going to stop while the Palestinian grievances remain unaddressed.

:-What has changed since 67 is that the Palestinian expectations have fallen - at the time, they thought they had a chance of destroying Israel altogether; now most (altohugh not all of them) have realised that the best they can possibly hope for is Israel withdrawing to the green line.

:-There is no course of action Israel can take that will not result in intermittent terrorist attacks on it continuing for a generation, I think. However, some courses of action will result in the attempts being far less frequent and less well-supported than others.

:-The Palestinians now have no leadership. Israel has finally got what it's always wanted - they no longer have a partner for negotiations. They did, until Arafat died; but even then they didn't negotiate with them.

:-As such, there is no way of holding "the Palestinians" accountable. You can - and Israel will - inflict massive suffering on innocent Palestinian civilians, and murder or arrest individual leaders deemed responsible for violence, but there is no body "the Palestinians" to hold responsible.

:-As such, the only possible route to anything resembling peace would be if Israel takes unilateral actions in that direction, and then responds to sporadic but decreasingly-frequent terrorist attacks with extreme restraint for a generation. Israel would have to act unilaterally, although preferably in consultation with as many influential Palestinians as possible, to address the Palestinian grievances, and then wait and see what happened.

:-What would happen, I think, would be that some Palestinians would accept the new status quo, and not want to risk further conflict, while others would continue to resort to violence. The relative sizes of these two groups would depend on how far Israel was willing to go.

:-I think, although I don't know for certain (no-one does) that if it went far enough (withdraw to the green line, joint sovereignty over Jerusalem, some compromise on the right of return) then the former group would sufficiently outnumber the latter to effectively stifle it, both in terms of official suppression and deprival of popular support. This would be especially possible if Israel and/or the international community helped establish a functioning Palestinian state. That wouldn't totally stop attacks on Israel, but it would massively reduce them.

:-I don't think that's going to happen. What I think it going to happen is that Israel is going to continue to kill large numbers of Palestinian civilians, destroy the lives of most of the remainder, and occupy their land, and the Palestinians are going to continue to kill significantly smaller, but still large, numbers of Israeli civilians, for the forseeable future.
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Posted by Donald Ian Rankin in General Discussion
Mon Apr 09th 2007, 02:15 PM

There are all sorts of things I hate, both politically and personally. I'm not going to bore you with a long list of them - most of you probably hate most of them too - but I want to start by establishing that fact, and that it is not unusual or shameful.

One of the commoner dismissals or epithets I seen on DU is to accuse someone of "hate". Statements that people don't like are dismissed as "hate speech". People, political movements, religions, beliefs, opinions, etc are called "hate ful", and that is automatically assumed to be sufficient to rebut them. Branding someone a "hatemonger", or saying that you think they are "full of hatred" is a simple, easy way of making clear that you think they are a bad person.

I think this is extraordinarily lazy, and that it is bad for logical debate. If you want to criticise someone on grounds of hatred, you need to make *two* steps, not just one. You need to demonstrate that they hate something, *and you need to demonstrate that they are wrong to hate it*.

Simply diagnosing hatred and assuming victory is not a way of making out a watertight case.

So the next time you want to brand someone "full of hatred" or dismiss something as "hate speech", don't. Make a more meaningful criticism instead.
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:-Projects like the one in the OP, spending state money for what is essentially personal propaganda.

:-Talking about establishing a militia, which would in practice probably be loyal to him personally, rather than to the state.

:-The military coup he planned in 1992

:-The allegations by the state-paid Cuban doctors who defected that they were being required to campaign for Chavez - I don't give total credence to these allegations, but I think they're much more likely to be true than not.

:-His claims that he is going to remain in power for 25 years, despite the existing (I suspect toothless) laws on term limits.

:-His use of state powers to broadcast propaganda.

:-His hampering of journalistic freedom

:-His concentration of power in his own hands, and hostility to independent oversight.

:-The form of his dismissal of his opponents - he refers to virtually everyone who opposes him as being "against the people of Venezuela", "representing interests", etc. This attempt to dismiss all criticism as not merely misguided in nature but illegitimate in source worries me.

:-His support and admiration for Cuba & Castro, an out-and-out dicatorship. Ditto for his invitation of the former military dictator (and American legion of merit holder) Jimenez to his inauguration.

:-His attempt to present himself as being on the side of the people, against the rest of the government - this worries me that it may be the first step towards setting aside the rest of the government. The rate at which he shuffles his cabinet worries me for the same reason.

That's far from proof that he's not committed to democracy, but it's enough circumstantial evidence to make me bet against it.
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So I look at the issue slightly differently - I don't feel any party loyalty whatsoever to any group; the two standards I'm judging by are

1) is this good for the cause of left-wing politics in America, irrespective of party.

2) is this acceptable behaviour for a politician - is it "playing fair"?

I think that Lieberman unquestionably did the wrong thing from point of view 1) by even standing against Lamont in the primary - Lamont is the more progressive of the two, although by less than most DUers appear to believe - but that he has done less wrong in that respect than any Republican.

I don't, however, think that he's done anything wrong from POV 2) - he's under no moral obligation of any kind not to run as an independent, given that the voters want him to.

However, given that Lieberman existed and was running, I think that Lamont also did the wrong thing from POV 1) by running against him - by doing so, he's made it likely that the Senator for Connecticut will be Lieberman(I) than Lieberman(D), which is bad. He *obviously* hasn't done anything wrong from POV 2).

I don't think either man has in any way "broken the rules of the game" or acted dishonourably.

I *do* think that those people who hold Democratic offices connected to campaigning in Connecticut but are supporting Lieberman have behaved badly from POV 2). I think that unless and until you split officially from a political party you have an obligation to toe its line to some extent. Lieberman has done so, and that's fine, but people who hold offices relevant to the Connecticut senate under Democratic auspices but are not endorsing the Democratic candidate are not fullfilling the trust the Democratic party placed in them when it selected them, which is wrong under POV 2).
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