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hnmnf's Journal
Posted by hnmnf in General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009)
Fri Oct 03rd 2008, 06:53 PM
I'll keep this up for a few more days if nobody responds. I hope to keep this up everyday until Nov 4th.

To the Polls!

There were 12 polls released today between National and State

National Polls

Kos/R2K: Obama 51(unchanged), McCain 40(unchanged)
Rasmussen: Obama 51(unchanged), McCain 44(unchanged)
Hotline: Obama 48(+1), McCain 42(unchanged)
GWU: Obama 49(unchanged), McCain 46(+2)
Gallup: Obama 49(+1), McCain 42(-1)

RCP Average: Obama 49.2(+.2), McCain 43.4(+.1) (RCP is selective in their polling and doesnt include the Kos poll)

Pollster Average: Obama 49.6(+.7), McCain 42.6(-.1)

State Polls

Minnesota
SUSA: McCain 47, Obama 46...clearly an outlier

New Hampshire
Rasmussen: Obama 53(+6), McCain 43(-6)
St. Anselm: Obama 49, McCain 37

New Hampshire looks to be moving away from a tossup and into the Obama column

North Carolina
Elon: Obama 38.9, McCain 38.8

There was some misinformation posted here as well as pollster and TPM about this poll saying Obama was up 44-42, but that was just a stat for Obama on the economy. This poll says the race is tied here.

Pennsylvania
Morning Call: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 40(-1)

Washington
Rasmussen: Obama 53(+4), McCain 43(-4)

Nevada
Rasmussen: Obama 51(+5), McCain 47(-2)

Those are the polls out today with all but one showing good numbers and movement towards Obama

And a random other poll shows that last months range of NH rasmussen polls were all wrong. Shaheen has pulled into a 5 point lead after being down 7 points to sununu last month...though it appears that last month's poll was just an outlier.

http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/08-us-pre...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/20...



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