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Madfloridian's Journal
Posted by madfloridian in General Discussion: Presidential
Thu Jan 31st 2008, 05:56 PM
This refers to the voters ON election day. Feel free to tell me I am wrong, and then provide proof. Shows a pattern and momentum for Obama. This is on edit.

This might be a reason for early voting to start later on. The ballots went out in December in Florida. Those early voters made up 59% of the total.

Note how the advantage she held over Obama diminished greatly as primary election day neared on January 29.

Florida results show strong late momentum for Obama

Despite losing the state overall by 17 points, Obama actually won more support than Clinton from voters who made up their minds in the last three days (46 percent to 38 percent), in the last week (39-31) and in the last month (47-40).

Clinton did defeat Obama among Floridians who decided on a candidate on the day of the primary. But overwhelmingly, Clinton's support came from those who made up their minds over a month ago (63 percent to 27 percent), and from early voters who used absentee ballots (50-31). Floridians began receiving absentee ballots in late December. According to the exit polls, those early deciders and early voters made up fully 59 percent of Florida's Democratic electorate.

The results seem to indicate that Obama picked up significant momentum in Florida following his victories in Iowa and South Carolina, as well as his high-profile endorsements (49 percent of Florida voters said Ted Kennedy's support was important to their decision).

..."But critically -- and perhaps as an indicator of close elections to come -- Clinton's margin of victory among Election Day deciders was the narrowest of all: 34 percent to 30 percent."


That is just amazing. It is making a lot of people here think again about exactly how early early voting should start.

It does show great momentum for Obama. It also show why the Hillary campaign has changed their position on the DNC sanctions. Last September the campaign said they would honor and respect the role of the first four states.

“We believe Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina play a unique and special role in the nominating process,” Patti Solis Doyle, the Clinton campaign manager, said in a statement.


But now Mark Penn vows to fight for those delegates.

That is not sitting well with some.

Most of the voters in Florida fully expect that their votes will not be wasted again -- they too have a voice at the convention, and Hillary has asked her delegates to support their being seated.


Florida's Democratic leaders supporting Hillary were at that rally in Davie, Florida, where Bill Nelson spoke passionately.

"In this primary, some even tried to silence our state," Nelson said as he endorsed Clinton from the stage Tuesday night. "Hillary Clinton will never let that happen."




Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Hillary Clinton (second from left) thanks supporters with Congressman Bill Nelson of Florida, Congressman Alcee Hastings of Florida, Miami Mayor Manny Diaz and U.S. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-F.L.) (left-right) after polls closed at the Signature Grand in Davie, Florida on Tuesday, January 29, 2008.

They are going to challenge the rules since they won the state. I can see why now. Down to a four percent margin on election day...that probably shook them.

This forum today is overrun by posters asking who "punished" Florida. I think it is being done to divert attention from the fact that the Hillary campaign is going to go up against the DNC and the rules.
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