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The Daily Widget ~ THE MATH Weekly
Posted by phrigndumass in General Discussion: Presidential
Fri Mar 14th 2008, 07:40 PM
The state of Michigan is wanting to hold the re-do primary on June 3. Let's look closer at this "what if" ... (I've been sooooo waiting for these scenarios to see some light so I could do this!)

This is SCENARIO 4 in the OP at this link:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discu...

Regarding Pledged Delegates:
Scenario 4 – Florida not seated, New election in Michigan
CLINTON NEEDS 61.5%, OBAMA NEEDS 38.5%, in all remaining contests
This means Senator Clinton would need to amass 61.5% of all the remaining pledged delegates in every state, including Michigan, to catch up to Senator Obama in pledged delegates. Her campaign has done this in only one state so far. Senator Obama would need 38.5% of all the remaining pledged delegates to maintain his pledged delegate lead.

Regarding Superdelegates based on 50/50 pledged delegates from here on out:
4. FL not seated, MI new election – Clinton needs 249 of 346, or 72.0% of remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.
4. FL not seated, MI new election – Obama needs 132 of 346, or 38.2% of remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.

Regarding Superdelegates based on 55/45 (advantage Clinton) pledged delegates from here on out:
4. FL not seated, MI new election – Clinton needs 214 of 346, or 61.8% of remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.
4. FL not seated, MI new election – Obama needs 167 of 346, or 48.3% of remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.

I'm wearing my spitball goggles.

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