Obama’s General Election Math – Friday, May 2

Projected Electoral Votes:
Obama – 264
McCain – 263
Ties – 11
Source: http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Obam...

Projected Popular Vote:
Obama – 58,131,779 (45.9%)
McCain – 56,142,936 (44.3%)
Undecided/Other – 12,446,284 (9.8%)

Strength of Projection – 32.5%








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Highly Probable Electoral Votes:
Obama – 104 (19.3%)
McCain – 101 (18.8%)

Probable Electoral Votes:
Obama – 247 (45.9%)
McCain – 177 (32.9%)

Potential Electoral Votes, Advantage Obama:
Obama – 361 (67.1%)
McCain – 177 (32.9%)

Potential Electoral Votes, Advantage McCain:
Obama – 247 (45.9%)
McCain – 291 (54.1%)

Runaway Electoral Votes, Advantage Obama:
Obama – 437 (81.2%)
McCain – 101 (18.8%)

Runaway Electoral Votes, Advantage McCain:
Obama – 104 (19.3%)
McCain – 434 (80.7%)

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Comparison of Poll-Averages:
2008 Obama – 45.3%
2004 Kerry – 46.5%
2000 Gore – 46.1%
1996 Clinton – 48.0%
1992 Clinton – 42.1%

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Link to spreadsheet: http://www.box.net/shared/5waltda0wg