THE MATH Mini Update - Super Tasty Superdelegate Statistics

Under Status Quo (Florida and Michigan not seated):

Number of Additional Superdelegates Needed if Remaining Pledged is 50/50:
Hillary Clinton – 1,532.0 Pledged, 249 Super, 244 more superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 1,695.0 Pledged, 212 Super, 118 more superdelegates needed

There are only 334 superdelegates left, so these would be the percentages needed:
Hillary Clinton – 244 of 334 – 72.8% of remaining superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 118 of 334 – 35.3% of remaining superdelegates needed

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Or, with new elections in Florida and Michigan:

Number of Additional Superdelegates Needed if Remaining Pledged is 50/50:
Hillary Clinton – 1,688.5 Pledged, 262 Super, 258 more superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 1,851.5 Pledged, 216 Super, 141 more superdelegates needed

There are only 351 superdelegates left, so these would be the percentages needed:
Hillary Clinton – 258 of 351 – 73.4% of remaining superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 141 of 351 – 40.0% of remaining superdelegates needed

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Or, with Florida and Michigan seated as is, from January results:

Number of Additional Superdelegates Needed if Remaining Pledged is 50/50:
Hillary Clinton – 1,711.0 Pledged, 262 Super, 235 more superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 1,762.0 Pledged, 216 Super, 230 more superdelegates needed

There are only 351 superdelegates left, so these would be the percentages needed:
Hillary Clinton – 235 of 351 – 67.0% of remaining superdelegates needed
Barack Obama – 230 of 351 – 65.5% of remaining superdelegates needed

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To summarize it a different way:

Hillary Clinton needs #/% of remaining superdelegates if remaining pledged is 50/50:
Status Quo – Clinton needs 244 of 334, or 72.8%
New elections FL/MI – Clinton needs 258 of 351, or 73.4%
FL/MI seated as is – Clinton needs 235 of 351, or 67.0%

Barack Obama needs #/% of remaining superdelegates if remaining pledged is 50/50:
Status Quo – Obama needs 118 of 334, or 35.3%
New elections FL/MI – Obama needs 141 of 351, or 40.0%
FL/MI seated as is – Obama needs 230 of 351, or 65.5%

More detailed info at link:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discu...

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